Wednesday, April 20, 2011
The prevailing narrative from the O-Bots says President Obama’s reelection is all but certain because he enjoys the power of the incumbency, an alleged $1 billion dollar campaign chest and the GOP field if full of kooks.
But, I say not so fast and so does Salon’s Steve Kornacki:
“Well into 1992, even as economic anxiety was soaring and unemployment was approaching 8 percent (a significant jump from the start of his presidency), George H.W. Bush was still seen as a good bet for reelection because of the supposed weakness of that year’s Democratic field. Eventually, Democrats settled on Bill Clinton, who finally pulled ahead of Bush in July — and then never looked back. (Note: Ross Perot had nothing to do with Bush’s defeat that November; it was the economy that sunk the president.) Rest assured, if the economy doesn’t improve — or gets worse — the GOP will be well-positioned to oust Obama in 2012, provided the party doesn’t nominate a fringe candidate.”
Yesterday’s Washington Post/ABC News poll finds Obama’s approval rating at an anemic 47 percent, with 50 percent of voters expressing disapproval.